Tier 1: TB, NYY, CLE, PHI, FLA, STL, CIN, COL, SFG {all 60%}
TIER 3 MN, HOU 12-24, 14-24 = 26-48 (74) 35% (both)
TIER 2: the rest 45%
PHI@ STL STL .52 NYY @ TB TB .52
FLA @ NYM FLA .75 BLT @ BOS BOS .52
CUB @ CIN CIN .80 CLE @ KC CLE .75
HOUS @ ATL ATL .52 TX @ WSOX SOX .52
SF @ COL COL .52 LAA @ OAK OAK .52
SD @ AZ AZ .52 MN @ SEA SEA .75
WIN 11 LOSE 4
EXPECTED WINS = 5*.75 + 10* .52 = 3.75 + 5.2 = 8/95 = 9
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