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Friday, May 13, 2011

OKAY - let's see just where we are in the American League

DEFINING THE TIERS    60%, 50%, 40%

Who's where right n ow (use last 10 games to break ties)

Tier 1:   TB, NYY,  CLE,  PHI,  MARLINS,  STL,  CIN,  COL,  SFG  {all 60%}

TIER 3   MN,  HOU   12-24,   14-24     =   26-48  (74)    35%  (both)

TIER 2:   the rest   45%

TIER 1:  23-15,  20-16,  24-13,  25-12,  22-15,  22-17,  21-17,  20-16,  21-17 = 198-137  (335)    59.1


9*.6 =  5.4
2*.35 = .7
19*X         such that  19*x = 15-6.1 = 8.9

8.9/19 =  46.8,   call it 45%

60,  45,  35

PREDICTING RESULTS FOR TODAY (ex-post facto - I get some real fast turn around time here):

SF  @  CUBS                          SF   75%
MARLINs @  WASH                FLA  .75

STL  @  CIN                           CIN  52
PHI  @ ATL                            PHI   .75
NYM  @  HOU                         NYM .75

PIT @ MIL                           MIL  .52


SD  @ COL                         COL   .75
AZ  @  LAD                         LAD   .52


SEA  @  CLE                       CLE  .75
BOS  @  NYY                      NYY  .52
KC  @  DET                         DET    .52
BALT  @  TB                       TB   .52
LAA @  TX                          TX   .52
TOR  @  MN                        TOR   .75
CHISOX  @  OAK                 OAK   .52


won   12     LOST    3

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